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2 NEWS

Engadget

US soldier accused of $410K Polymarket gain using classified Maduro intel

A US Army Special Forces master sergeant allegedly exploited classified intelligence to place winning bets on Polymarket, pocketing over $400,000 before authorities uncovered the scheme. The case highlights growing concerns over insider trading in prediction markets.

Apr 24, 2026

Ars Technica

Polymarket’s long-shot bets reveal surprising accuracy in defense forecasts

A new study shows over half of high-risk, low-odds bets on military actions on Polymarket pay off, outperforming traditional political markets by a wide margin. The findings raise fresh questions about the platform’s influence on sensitive intelligence.

Apr 30, 2026